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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Canada is considering imposing export taxes on uranium and oil to counter Trump's tariff threat. Canada is studying imposing export taxes on major commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer, if Donald Trump fulfills the comprehensive tariff threat. Officials familiar with the internal discussions of Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's government said that the export tax would be Canada's last resort. According to people familiar with the matter, retaliatory tariffs on goods made in the United States and export controls on some Canadian products are more likely to come first.New york Fed: Michelle Neal, head of the marketing department, resigned from the bank and will leave on March 25th, 2025.

The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down by nearly 14%, while the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.53%, the Nasdaq down 0.66% and the S&P 500 index down 0.54%. Adobe, the developer of image processing software, fell nearly 14%, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected. Gold and silver mining stocks generally fell, Cordillen Mining fell by nearly 7%, Hekla Mining, Anglogold and Pan American Silver fell by more than 5%, and harmony Gold fell by more than 4%. Bitcoin once again fell below the $100,000 mark, cryptocurrency concept stock Bit Digital fell more than 5%, and MicroStrategy fell nearly 5%.Raw sugar futures fell by 1.7%, coffee C fell by more than 0.6%, and new york cocoa rose by 1.9%, which once reached a record high. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), ICE raw sugar futures fell by 1.69% and ICE white sugar futures fell by 1.29%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell by 0.64% and rose to 348.35 cents/pound on December 10, and continued to pull back. Robusta coffee futures rose 0.45%. New york cocoa futures rose 1.93% to US$ 10,781/ton, and rose to US$ 10,900 at 23:23 Beijing time, a record high after a trading day. London cocoa futures rose 2.54% to 8063, and also rose to 8680 at 23:25, a record high for three consecutive days. ICE cotton futures fell 0.14%.U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."

Google CEO is expected to meet with US President-elect Trump on December 13th, local time.The balance of A-share financing reached a nine-year high. On December 12th, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (CSI)Market News: The European Central Bank is prepared to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the next two meetings.